While some might say reading this that Putin is delusional and living in an alternative world, he’s crazy like a fox. Remember, one of his long-term war aims is destroying NATO. Ukraine is merely
a steppingstone to doing that.
Right now, he has nothing to gain by agreeing to a peace treaty of any kind that doesn’t give him control of Ukraine. Anything short of that will lead to his supporters questioning why did Russia
invade in the first place.
Second, he sees an opportunity to link the Iran conflict to his war with Ukraine and put more pressure on the U.S. His read of Epic Fury is that Russia can survive that sort of onslaught and the
U.S. doesn’t have enough weapons to conduct that kind of campaign against Russia. While the country could survive, I don’t think the Red Army and Air Force will. Any involvement of NATO in the Ukraine War will lead to an air campaign that isolate Red Army
units so they can be destroyed piecemeal. If the Red Air Force tries to intercede, it will face an adversary against which it cannot compete, given the number of F-35s in NATO inventories.
Bottom line is that Putin is a wounded, cornered animal. On one side he is fighting a war he cannot win. On another, he has an economy that has serious financial problems and his source of money
is shrinking. Another limit is manpower. Russia is running our of military age males. And last, Ukraine’s drone war against the Russian Army’s logistics infrastructure and Russian oil is limiting the Red Army’s ability to sustain itself in the field, maneuver
and ultimately fight.
Unlike Hitler, Putin does not believe he will go down in a blaze of glory. He thinks he can win and Russia can again be the third dominant world power. Hence his positions.
Marc Liebman
https://www.facebook.com/marcliebmanauthor/
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_sDoFQM5wupNaCeGIvKL1g
Author of:
Cherubs 2 Raider of the Scottish Coast
Big Mother 40 Carronade
Render Harmless Death of a Lady
Forgotten Last Battles
Inner Look For a Few Francs
Moscow Airlift Predators
The Simushir Island Incident Fight We Shall
Flight of the Pawnee Prices of Opportunity
Failure to Fire Insidious Dragon
The Red Star of Death
Member of:
The Author’s Guild Military Writers Society of America
Association of Texas Authors North American Snowsport Journalists Association
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